Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola BartunkovaMonterrey Round of 32

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 32
#81WTA
1739ELO
1717Hard ELO
$768kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
#38WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
Ruzic A.
4-6 3-6
Bartunkova N.
Ruzic A.
430
Bartunkova N.
662

Nikola Bartunkova defeated Antonia Ruzic in the Round of 32 of the Monterrey tournament on hard courts, winning 6-4, 6-3. Bartunkova hit 3 aces and converted 67% of her break points, compared to Ruzic's 0 aces and 50% conversion rate. Bartunkova won 4 service breaks to Ruzic's 1 en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
82
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
76
Break points won·Slight edge
96
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
75
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Ruzic A.34%
Bartunkova N.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bartunkova N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1717
Surface ELO
5.0+2 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1739
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1788
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
43

Ruzic A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Bartunkova N.: played today · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw