Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena — US Open Qualifying Round of 256
Fearnley J.
Jacob Fearnley defeated Roberto Carballes Baena in the quarterfinals of the US Open, advancing with a 7-6, 6-3 victory. Fearnley hit 7 aces to Carballes Baena's 1 and converted all of his break points, compared to Carballes Baena's 12%. Fearnley won 80% of his first serves, and he broke Carballes Baena's serve twice to Carballes Baena's one.
Key context
- Match story: Jacob Fearnley closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-14 | Barcelona | R32 | clay | Jacob Fearnley | 6-1 7-5 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Fearnley J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFearnley J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Carballes Baena R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About