Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro GarciaUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#159WTA
1694ELO
1640Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
#142WTA
1618ELO
1525Hard ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Avanesyan E.
3-6 6-7
Lazaro Garcia A.
Avanesyan E.
3630
Lazaro Garcia A.
6772

Andrea Lazaro Garcia defeated Elina Avanesyan in the qualifying round one of the US Open, 6-3, 7-6. Lazaro Garcia and Avanesyan did not hit any aces, but Lazaro Garcia committed five double faults to Avanesyan's seven. Lazaro Garcia won 74 percent of her first-serve points to Avanesyan's 61 percent and converted 44 percent of her break points to Avanesyan's 38 percent; Lazaro Garcia had four service breaks to Avanesyan's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
52%
56%
Return points won·Even
50%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.2
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
35
Break points saved·Dominant
8
51
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
21
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Avanesyan E.70%
Lazaro Garcia A.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Avanesyan E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+115 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1525
5.9Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1618
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
93
68

Avanesyan E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Lazaro Garcia A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw