Erika Andreeva vs Mariam BolkvadzeUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#214WTA
1553ELO
1513Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 4 · 1st on
#418WTA
1479ELO
1469Hard ELO
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLL
Andreeva E.
4-6 6-7
Bolkvadze M.
Andreeva E.
4650
Bolkvadze M.
6772

Mariam Bolkvadze defeated Erika Andreeva 6-4, 7-6 in the first round of US Open qualifying. Bolkvadze hit one ace and 13 double faults, while Andreeva had four aces and five double faults. Bolkvadze won 80 percent of her first serves and converted 27 percent of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
38%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
46%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
46%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
8.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
50
Break points saved·Dominant
56
17
Break points won·Even
86
89
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
93
Tiebreaks·
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Andreeva E.57%
Bolkvadze M.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+44 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1469
5.9Overall Elo 1553
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1479
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
72

Andreeva E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Bolkvadze M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw