Edward Winter vs Andres AndradeKingston 2 Round of 32

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#342ATP
1434ELO
1404Hard ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 3rd on
#243ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLL
Winter E.
4-6 6-7
Andrade A.
Winter E.
4650
Andrade A.
6772

Andres Andrade defeated Edward Winter in the quarterfinals of the Kingston 2 hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 7-6 in favor of Andrade. Andrade hit 1 ace and 4 double faults, while Winter had 3 aces and 1 double fault; other key stats included Andrade's 69% first-serve win percentage and 62% break points conversion rate, compared to Winter's 51% and 50%, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Winter E.56%
Andrade A.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1404
Surface ELO
5.3+23 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1434
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1505
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
85
54

Winter E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Andrade A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw