Dalibor Svrcina vs Felipe Meligeni AlvesUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#134ATP
1640ELO
1624Hard ELO
$304kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 8 · 1st on
#459ATP
1477ELO
1422Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Svrcina D.
6-3 6-4
Meligeni Alves F.
Svrcina D.
662
Meligeni Alves F.
340

Dalibor Svrcina defeated Felipe Meligeni Alves in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-3, 6-4. Svrcina hit 8 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 36% of break points and winning 78% of first-serve points. Svrcina won 5 service breaks to Alves' 2.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-22US OpenQ128hardFelipe Meligeni Alves2-6 6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
27
30
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
78
Break points won·Dominant
85
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
40
Tiebreaks·
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Svrcina D.70%
Meligeni Alves F.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svrcina D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+202 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1422
7.0Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1477
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
63
84

Svrcina D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Meligeni Alves F.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw