Fangran Tian vs Lucciana Perez AlarconPhilly Open - Philadelphia Round of 32

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#256WTA
1470ELO
1451Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#334WTA
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Tian F.
5-7 6-3 6-1
Perez Alarcon L.
Tian F.
5662
Perez Alarcon L.
7311

Fangran Tian defeated Lucciana Perez Alarcon in the Round of 32 at the Philly Open in Philadelphia, advancing with a 5-7, 6-3, 6-1 victory. Tian served one ace and committed two double faults, while Perez Alarcon had none of either. Tian won 72% of her first-serve points and converted 55% of her break points, compared to 60% and 60% for Perez Alarcon; Tian secured six service breaks to Perez Alarcon's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
37%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Tian F.47%
Perez Alarcon L.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.75 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.5Won 74% in USA (47)
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
88

Tian F.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Perez Alarcon L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw