Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli — US Open Qualifying Round of 128
US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 3rd on
Ristic M.6-3 1-6 6-4
Akli A.
Ristic M.
6162
Akli A.
3641
Mia Ristic defeated Ayana Akli in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-3, 1-6, 6-4. The match saw Ristic hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, while Akli had 1 ace and 3 double faults. Both players converted 3 service breaks, with Ristic winning 38% of break points and Akli 30%.
Key context
- Match story: Mia Ristic closed it out in three sets, 6–3 1–6 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCRistic M.53%
Akli A.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1366
Surface ELO5.4+32 Hard Elo edge
6.5Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap3.5Overall Elo 1381
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%