Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Quinn VandecasteeleWinston-Salem Qualifying Round

Winston-Salem · ATP · Qualifying Round
#288ATP
1607ELO
1577Hard ELO
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
#456ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Hugues Herbert P.
6-3 6-7 5-7
Vandecasteele Q.
Hugues Herbert P.
66451
Vandecasteele Q.
37772

Quinn Vandecasteele defeated Pierre Hugues Herbert 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 in the eighth quarterfinal of the Winston-Salem hard-court tournament. Vandecasteele served five aces to Herbert's one and committed seven double faults to Herbert's 15. Herbert converted 56 percent of his break points, one point higher than Vandecasteele's 33 percent, but Vandecasteele won the match, breaking Herbert's serve four times to Herbert's five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.5
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Hugues Herbert P.53%
Vandecasteele Q.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+209 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1368
7.8Overall Elo 1607
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1383
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in Usa (97)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
71
80

Hugues Herbert P.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 92 games (7d) · Vandecasteele Q.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw