Maya Joint vs Jessica Hinojosa GomezMonterrey Qualifying Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Qualifying Round of 16
#75WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
hard
ESTADIO · 3rd on
#744WTA
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
Joint M.
4-6 2-6
Hinojosa Gomez J.
Joint M.
420
Hinojosa Gomez J.
662

Jessica Hinojosa Gomez defeated Maya Joint 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the Monterrey tournament. Hinojosa Gomez converted 100% of her break points, while Joint converted 50%. Hinojosa Gomez secured 1 service break, compared to Joint's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Service points won·Even
52%
50%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Joint M.87%
Hinojosa Gomez J.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Joint M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
96

Joint M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Hinojosa Gomez J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw