Hubert Hurkacz vs Moez EcharguiCancun 2 Semi-final

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#46ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
hard
ESTADIO FUNO · 1st on
#225ATP
1416ELO
1408Hard ELO
$171kYTD
$469kCAREER
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWW
Hurkacz H.
6-3 6-4
Echargui M.
Hurkacz H.
662
Echargui M.
340

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Moez Echargui in the semifinals of the Cancun 2 tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Hurkacz hit 12 aces to Echargui's 1 and converted 29% of his break points, taking 2 service breaks to Echargui's 0. Hurkacz won 89% of his first-serve points, compared to 66% for Echargui.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2016-03-16USA F10R32hardMoez Echargui7-6(4) 4-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
14.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
4
Break points saved·Dominant
99
48
Break points won·Slight edge
16
11
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
4
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Hurkacz H.86%
Echargui M.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Hurkacz H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.0+319 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1408
9.8Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1416
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
75
75

Hurkacz H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Echargui M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw