Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi ChenW15 Tianjin 3 Final

W15 Tianjin 3 · ITF · Final
#519WTA
1100ELO
1103Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
hard
#888WTA
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLLLL
Matsuda R.
6-3 4-6 6-1
Yi Chen M.
Matsuda R.
6462
Yi Chen M.
3611

Rinko Matsuda won the W15 Tianjin 3 final, defeating Meng Yi Chen 6-3, 4-6, 6-1. Matsuda hit two aces and committed one double fault, while Chen had no aces and three double faults. Matsuda converted 50% of her break points and broke Chen's serve six times, compared to Chen's three breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Rinko Matsuda came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
51%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
49%
Return points won·Even
50%
46%
Break points saved·Even
50%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
0.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Matsuda R.75%
Yi Chen M.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Matsuda R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw