Leo Borg vs Niklas GuttauM15 Bastad Final

M15 Bastad · ITF · Final
#551ATP
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
clay
#1054ATP
26 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
Borg L.
6-4 2-6 3-6
Guttau N.
Borg L.
6231
Guttau N.
4662

Niklas Guttau won the M15 Bastad final, defeating Leo Borg 4-6, 6-2, 6-3. Guttau hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 60% of his break points and winning 60% of his first-serve points. Borg had 2 double faults and converted 40% of his break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Borg L.66%
Guttau N.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Borg L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.61 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Guttau N.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw