Toprak Avcibasi vs Aron Paul SamsonM25 Oviedo Qualifying Round of 32

M25 Oviedo · ITF · Qualifying Round of 32
#1489ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
clay
IND
Aron Paul Samson
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLW
Avcibasi T.
6-7 6-2 10-7
Paul Samson A.
Avcibasi T.
646102
Paul Samson A.
77271

Toprak Avcibasi defeated Aron Paul Samson in the Q32 of the M25 Oviedo tournament on clay, winning 6-7, 6-2, 10-7. Avcibasi hit 11 double faults and converted 75 percent of his break points, while Samson had one double fault and converted 67 percent of his break points. Avcibasi won six service breaks to Samson's four.

Key context

  • Match story: Toprak Avcibasi dropped the opening set before beating Aron Paul Samson 6–7 6–2 10–7.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Avcibasi T.Paul Samson A.
1st serve in·
54%
1st serve points won·
63%
2nd serve points won·
23%
Service points won·
45%
Return points won·
48%
Break points saved·
33%
Aces / match·
0.0
Double faults / match·
17.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Avcibasi T.92%
Paul Samson A.8%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Avcibasi T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Paul Samson A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw