Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Assche — Quebec City Final

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Final
GREQ
Stefanos Sakellaridis
#136ATP
1631ELO
1566Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$341kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 1st on
Luca Van Assche
FRA2
Luca Van Assche
#40ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Sakellaridis S.
1-6 4-6
Van Assche L.
Sakellaridis S.
140
Van Assche L.
662

Luca Van Assche won the final of the Quebec City hard-court tournament, defeating Stefanos Sakellaridis 6-1, 6-4. Van Assche served one ace and committed three double faults, while converting 36% of break points and winning 70% of first-serve points. He converted four service breaks to Sakellaridis' one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Sakellaridis S.Van Assche L.
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakellaridis S.Van Assche L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
63
77
Break points won·Even
9
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
51
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Sakellaridis S.38%
Van Assche L.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Van Assche L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakellaridis S.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Van Assche L.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1566
Surface ELO
6.4+115 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1701
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.29 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakellaridis S.Van Assche L.
Freshness·Slight edge
65
74

Sakellaridis S.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 90%

Draw