Ariana Arseneault vs Alexandra OsbornePhilly Open - Philadelphia Qualifying Round

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round
#381WTA
1273ELO
1260Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
#1140WTA
31 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
Arseneault A.
7-5 6-3
Osborne A.
Arseneault A.
762
Osborne A.
530

Ariana Arseneault defeated Alexandra Osborne 7-5, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the Philly Open in Philadelphia. Arseneault converted 38% of her break points and won 78% of her first-serve points to secure the win. She won 3 service breaks to Osborne's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Arseneault A.89%
Osborne A.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Arseneault A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.61 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.1Won 52% in USA (31)
Country comfort
4.4Won 39% in USA (66)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
94

Arseneault A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Osborne A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw