Li Tu vs Quinn VandecasteeleWinston-Salem Qualifying Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Qualifying Round of 16
#529ATP
1488ELO
1471Hard ELO
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#456ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Tu L.
3-6 2-6
Vandecasteele Q.
Tu L.
320
Vandecasteele Q.
662

Quinn Vandecasteele defeated Li Tu 6-3, 6-2 in the Winston-Salem hard-court qualifying round of 16. Vandecasteele converted 57% of his break points and won 76% of his first serves to secure the win. He won four service breaks to Tu's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.3
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Tu L.56%
Vandecasteele Q.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+103 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1368
6.3Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1383
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in Usa (96)
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
80

Tu L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Vandecasteele Q.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw