Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria TimofeevaMonterrey Qualifying Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Qualifying Round of 16
#72WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#92WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
Tararudee L.
6-7 6-2 6-7
Timofeeva M.
Tararudee L.
6661
Timofeeva M.
7272

Maria Timofeeva defeated Lanlana Tararudee in the Monterrey Q16 on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 in favor of Timofeeva. Key stats included 0 aces and 9 double faults for Timofeeva, compared to 3 aces and 8 double faults for Tararudee.

Key context

  • Match story: Maria Timofeeva closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27ChennaiR32hardLanlana Tararudee6-2 2-0
2025-07-25W100 Figueira da Foz 1QFhardMaria Timofeeva6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
54
Break points saved·Even
77
76
Break points won·Slight edge
86
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
59
Tiebreaks·
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Tararudee L.66%
Timofeeva M.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tararudee L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+79 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1608
4.8Overall Elo 1678
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1696
4.3Trails 1–2 on hard
H2H
5.7Leads 2–1 on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
73

Tararudee L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Timofeeva M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw