S. Seghetti vs Lorenzo RottoliM25 Lesa Round of 16

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 16
#1500ATP
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
clay
#899ATP
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Seghetti S.
7-5 6-2
Rottoli L.
Seghetti S.
762
Rottoli L.
520

S. Seghetti defeated Lorenzo Rottoli 7-5, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Lesa tournament on clay. Seghetti hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, winning 82% of first-serve points and converting 57% of break points. He broke Rottoli's serve 4 times, while Rottoli converted 33% of break points and broke Seghetti's serve once.

Key context

  • Match story: S. Seghetti closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Seghetti S.25%
Rottoli L.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rottoli L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.92 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw