Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain — Roehampton Final

Roehampton · CHALLENGER · Final
GBRWC
Oliver Tarvet
#329ATP
1490ELO
1460Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
Lucas Poullain
FRA
Lucas Poullain
#341ATP
1295ELO
1286Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Tarvet O.
6-3 6-2
Poullain L.
Tarvet O.
662
Poullain L.
320

Oliver Tarvet won the final of the Roehampton hard-court tournament, defeating Lucas Poullain 6-3, 6-2. Tarvet hit 8 aces to Poullain's 1 and converted 67% of his break points, compared to Poullain's 30%. Tarvet won 6 service breaks to Poullain's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tarvet O.Poullain L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
80%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
78%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Tarvet O.67%
Poullain L.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tarvet O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tarvet O.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Poullain L.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+174 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1286
7.4Overall Elo 1490
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1295
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.49 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.3Won 88% in United Kingdom (26)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tarvet O.Poullain L.
Freshness·Dominant
46
82

Tarvet O.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 100 games (7d) · Poullain L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw