Daniele Rapagnetta vs Manuel Mazza — M25 Lesa Round of 16
M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
clay
Rapagnetta D.6-4 7-5
Mazza M.
Rapagnetta D.
672
Mazza M.
450
Daniele Rapagnetta defeated Manuel Mazza 6-4, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Lesa tournament on clay. Rapagnetta hit four aces and did not commit a double fault, while Mazza had five double faults. Rapagnetta converted 40% of his break points and won four service breaks to Mazza's two.
Key context
- Match story: Daniele Rapagnetta edged Manuel Mazza in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.2
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCRapagnetta D.37%
Mazza M.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Mazza M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%