Mykyta Mashtakov vs Marcel ZielinskiM15 Mistelbach Semi-final

M15 Mistelbach · ITF · Semi-final
#646ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
clay
#533ATP
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Mashtakov M.
1-6 6-4 7-5
Zielinski M.
Mashtakov M.
1672
Zielinski M.
6451

Mykyta Mashtakov defeated Marcel Zielinski in the semifinals of the M15 Mistelbach tournament on clay. Mashtakov won 1-6, 6-4, 7-5. The match saw Mashtakov record 0 aces and 4 double faults, while Zielinski had 2 aces and 1 double fault; Mashtakov converted 36% of break points and Zielinski converted 38%, with Mashtakov securing 4 service breaks to Zielinski's 5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Mashtakov M.65%
Zielinski M.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mashtakov M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.53 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.91 of last 6 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Mashtakov M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw