Valentin Royer vs Pedro MartinezKingston Final

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Final
#74ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
#148ATP
1580ELO
1552Hard ELO
$338kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Royer V.
4-6 2-6
Martinez P.
Royer V.
420
Martinez P.
662

Pedro Martinez won the Kingston hard-court tournament final, defeating Valentin Royer 6-4, 6-2. The match was the championship contest of the event. Martinez secured the title with the straight-sets victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
84
Break points won·Slight edge
30
36
Deciding sets·Even
76
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
62
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Royer V.65%
Martinez P.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Royer V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+33 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1552
5.8Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1580
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
75

Royer V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Martinez P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw