Leolia Jeanjean vs Kamilla RakhimovaMonterrey Qualifying Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Qualifying Round of 16
#127WTA
1653ELO
1588Hard ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 1st on
#88WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Jeanjean L.
4-6 6-4 2-6
Rakhimova K.
Jeanjean L.
4621
Rakhimova K.
6462

Kamilla Rakhimova defeated Leolia Jeanjean 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 in the Monterrey quarterfinals. Rakhimova hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, winning 65% of her first serves and converting 45% of break points. She won 5 service breaks to Jeanjean's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
8
Break points saved·Dominant
75
7
Break points won·Clear edge
90
77
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
15
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Jeanjean L.43%
Rakhimova K.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1588
Surface ELO
6.0+83 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1653
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1693
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
78

Jeanjean L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Rakhimova K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw