Hunter Heck vs Mees RottgeringWinston-Salem Qualifying Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Qualifying Round of 16
#710ATP
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#389ATP
1468ELO
1449Hard ELO
19 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Heck H.
1-6 0-6
Rottgering M.
Heck H.
100
Rottgering M.
662

Mees Rottgering defeated Hunter Heck 6-1, 6-0 in the quarterfinals of the Winston-Salem hard-court tournament. Rottgering converted 50% of break points and won 89% of first-serve points. He secured five service breaks en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
57%
1st serve points won·
62%
2nd serve points won·
50%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
60%
Aces / match·
3.0
Double faults / match·
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Heck H.26%
Rottgering M.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rottgering M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.6Won 43% in Usa (47)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
67

Heck H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d) · Rottgering M.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw