Hugo Grenier vs Neil OberleitnerWinston-Salem Qualifying Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Qualifying Round of 16
#255ATP
1548ELO
1523Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
#645ATP
1320ELO
1286Hard ELO
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
Grenier H.
6-4 6-1
Oberleitner N.
Grenier H.
662
Oberleitner N.
410

Hugo Grenier defeated Neil Oberleitner 6-4, 6-1 in the Winston-Salem hard-court tournament's round of 16. Grenier hit 8 aces and 1 double fault, winning 82% of first-serve points and converting 57% of break points. He broke Oberleitner's serve 4 times, while Oberleitner converted no break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.3
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
25
13
Break points saved·Clear edge
62
76
Break points won·Dominant
1
30
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
1
Tiebreaks·Even
5
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Grenier H.69%
Oberleitner N.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Grenier H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+237 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1286
7.9Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1320
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
96

Grenier H.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Oberleitner N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw