Rodrigo Fernandes vs Pavel LagutinM25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 Semi-final

M25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 · ITF · Semi-final
#1258ATP
19 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
RUS3
Pavel Lagutin
#550ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
Fernandes R.
3-6 2-6
Lagutin P.
Fernandes R.
320
Lagutin P.
662

Pavel Lagutin defeated Rodrigo Fernandes in the semifinals of the M25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 hard court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 2-6 in favor of Rodrigo Fernandes. Key stats included 1 ace for each player, 0 double faults for Lagutin and 4 for Fernandes, and 3 service breaks for Lagutin to none for Fernandes.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-12M25 Idanha-A-NovaR32hardPavel Lagutin6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
Fernandes R.Lagutin P.
1st serve in·Dominant
52%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Clear edge
40%
54%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
70%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Fernandes R.33%
Lagutin P.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lagutin P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Lagutin P.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw