Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Taro DanielQuebec City Semi-final

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#136ATP
1631ELO
1566Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$341kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 2nd on
#160ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Sakellaridis S.
6-4 7-6
Daniel T.
Sakellaridis S.
672
Daniel T.
460

Stefanos Sakellaridis defeated Taro Daniel in the semifinals of the Quebec City tournament, winning 6-4, 7-6 on hard courts. Sakellaridis served 8 aces to Daniel's 3 and converted 67% of his break points, while Daniel converted 100% of his. Sakellaridis won 2 service breaks to Daniel's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
19
Break points saved·Clear edge
63
77
Break points won·Dominant
9
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
7
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Sakellaridis S.65%
Daniel T.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sakellaridis S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1512
5.8Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1567
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.19 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
65
69

Sakellaridis S.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw