Lui Maxted vs Lucas PoullainRoehampton Semi-final

Roehampton · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#362ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 5 · 1st on
#341ATP
1295ELO
1286Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Maxted L.
3-6 2-6
Poullain L.
Maxted L.
320
Poullain L.
662

Lucas Poullain defeated Lui Maxted in the semifinals of the Roehampton hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-2. Poullain hit two aces and did not commit a double fault, while Maxted had no aces and three double faults. Poullain converted 44% of his break points and won four service breaks to Maxted's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Maxted L.52%
Poullain L.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
82

Maxted L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Poullain L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw