Alexander Wagner vs Mykyta MashtakovM15 Mistelbach Quarter-final

M15 Mistelbach · ITF · Quarter-final
#1194ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
clay
#646ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Wagner A.
6-7 6-4 0-6
Mashtakov M.
Wagner A.
6601
Mashtakov M.
7462

Mykyta Mashtakov defeated Alexander Wagner in the quarterfinals of the M15 Mistelbach tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 4-6, 6-0. Mashtakov hit 5 aces and 8 double faults, while converting 35% of break points and winning 58% of first-serve points. Wagner recorded 3 aces and 2 double faults, converting 36% of break points and winning 54% of first-serve points; he secured 5 service breaks to Mashtakov's 7.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
62%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Wagner A.39%
Mashtakov M.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mashtakov M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Mashtakov M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw