Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong — Cancun 2 Round of 16

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
MEXQ
Alan Magadan
#513ATP
1274ELO
1275Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND SCOTIABANK · 2nd on
HKG6
Coleman Wong
#94ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLW
Magadan A.
4-6 6-1 6-7
Wong C.
Magadan A.
46631
Wong C.
61772

Coleman Wong defeated Alan Magadan 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 in the Round of 16 at Cancun 2. Wong served 18 aces and hit 4 double faults, while Magadan had 5 aces and 2 double faults. Wong converted 25% of break points, while Magadan converted 40%, with Wong securing 1 service break and Magadan securing 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Coleman Wong closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Magadan A.Wong C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
9.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Magadan A.23%
Wong C.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Wong C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Magadan A.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Wong C.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1275
Surface ELO
9.0+318 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1274
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1602
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Magadan A.Wong C.
Freshness·Clear edge
83
61

Magadan A.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Wong C.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw