Pavel Lagutin vs Mathieu ScagliaM25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 Quarter-final

M25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 · ITF · Quarter-final
RUS3
Pavel Lagutin
#550ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
#1041ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWW
Lagutin P.
4-6 6-2 6-2
Scaglia M.
Lagutin P.
4662
Scaglia M.
6221

Bogdan Pavel defeated Mathieu Scaglia in the quarterfinals of the M25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 hard court tournament, winning 4-6, 6-2, 6-2. Pavel served one ace and three double faults, winning 63 percent of first-serve points and converting 62 percent of break points. Scaglia had two aces and seven double faults, winning 52 percent of first-serve points and converting 83 percent of break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Lagutin dropped the opening set before beating Mathieu Scaglia 4–6 6–2 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Lagutin P.Scaglia M.
1st serve in·Dominant
83%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
88%
77%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
40%
52%
Service points won·Clear edge
80%
66%
Return points won·Dominant
74%
41%
Break points saved·
73%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Lagutin P.48%
Scaglia M.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lagutin P.
Score unavailable
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw