Jacob Fearnley vs Alexis Galarneau — Quebec City Round of 16
GBRALT
CANWC
Fearnley J.
Jacob Fearnley defeated Alexis Galarneau 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Quebec City tournament. Fearnley served 4 aces to Galarneau's 1 and converted 44% of his break points, while Galarneau converted all his break points but was limited to only 1 service break. Fearnley won 83% of his first-serve points, compared to 50% for Galarneau.
Key context
- Match story: Jacob Fearnley dropped just 5 games past Alexis Galarneau.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Fearnley J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFearnley J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About