K. Edengren vs Niklas Guttau — M15 Bastad Quarter-final

M15 Bastad · ITF · Quarter-final
SWE
K. Edengren
#1262ATP
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
clay
GER
Niklas Guttau
#1054ATP
26 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
Edengren K.
6-3 2-6 1-6
Guttau N.
Edengren K.
6211
Guttau N.
3662

Niklas Guttau defeated K. Edengren in the quarterfinals of the M15 Bastad tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-2, 6-1. Guttau hit 2 aces and 7 double faults, winning 70% of his first serves and converting 60% of break points. He broke Edengren's serve 6 times, compared to 3 times for Edengren.

Key context

  • Match story: Niklas Guttau dropped the opening set before beating K. Edengren 3–6 6–2 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Edengren K.Guttau N.
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
43%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Edengren K.47%
Guttau N.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Edengren K.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Guttau N.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Edengren K.Guttau N.
Freshness·
—
100

Guttau N.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw