Paula Cembranos vs Jenna DefalcoW15 Logrono Quarter-final

W15 Logrono · ITF · Quarter-final
#784WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
#755WTA
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLLL
Cembranos P.
7-6 6-2
Defalco J.
Cembranos P.
762
Defalco J.
620

Paula Cembranos defeated Jenna Defalco 7-6, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the W15 Logrono. Cembranos hit one ace and nine double faults, winning 65 percent of her first serves and converting 46 percent of her break points. Defalco had two aces and three double faults, winning 54 percent of her first serves and converting 80 percent of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
53%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
39%
Service points won·Even
51%
48%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
45%
Aces / match·Even
0.1
0.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.6
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Cembranos P.36%
Defalco J.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Defalco J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw