Sebastian Sorger vs Luca CastagnolaM25 Slovenj Gradec Quarter-final

M25 Slovenj Gradec · ITF · Quarter-final
#408ATP
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
clay
#814ATP
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWLWW
Sorger S.
6-2 6-2
Castagnola L.
Sorger S.
662
Castagnola L.
220

Sebastian Sorger defeated Luca Castagnola in the quarterfinals of the M25 Slovenj Gradec tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-2. Sorger hit one ace and one double fault, while Castagnola had no aces and three double faults. Sorger converted 50% of his break points and won four service breaks to Castagnola's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Sorger S.71%
Castagnola L.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sorger S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.41 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw