Maxwell Exsted vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo — M15 Asuncion 2 Semi-final
M15 Asuncion 2 · ITF · Semi-final
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
clay
Exsted M.3-6 3-6
Aguilar Cardozo J.
Exsted M.
330
Aguilar Cardozo J.
662
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo defeated Maxwell Exsted in the semifinals of the M15 Asuncion 2. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Aguilar Cardozo. Key stats included Aguilar Cardozo converting 71% of break points and Exsted converting 40%.
Key context
- Match story: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo dropped just 6 games past Maxwell Exsted.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
62%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCExsted M.23%
Aguilar Cardozo J.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Aguilar Cardozo J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 50%