Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres BurruchagaCancun 2 Round of 16

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#200ATP
1568ELO
1549Hard ELO
17 yrs · 190 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND SCOTIABANK · 3rd on
#59ATP
1711ELO
1545Hard ELO
$458kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Kouame M.
6-2 6-2
Burruchaga R.
Kouame M.
662
Burruchaga R.
220

Moise Kouame defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Round of 16 at Cancun 2, winning 6-2, 6-2 on hard courts. Kouame hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 80% of first-serve points and converting 80% of break points. He secured 4 service breaks to Burruchaga's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Kouame M.40%
Burruchaga R.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Burruchaga R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+4 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1545
3.2Overall Elo 1568
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.43 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
97

Kouame M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Burruchaga R.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw