Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos SakellaridisQuebec City Quarter-final

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#35ATP
1808ELO
1757Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$4.1MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 3rd on
#136ATP
1631ELO
1566Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$341kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Bergs Z.
6-7 6-4 4-6
Sakellaridis S.
Bergs Z.
63641
Sakellaridis S.
77462

Stefanos Sakellaridis defeated Zizou Bergs in the quarterfinals of the Quebec City tournament, winning 7-6, 4-6, 6-4. Sakellaridis hit 9 aces and 10 double faults, while converting 50% of break points and winning 78% of first-serve points. Both players earned 2 service breaks and converted 40% and 50% of break points respectively.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-02United CupRRhardStefanos Sakellaridis5-7 6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.8
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
46
Break points saved·Dominant
89
63
Break points won·Even
11
9
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
83
Tiebreaks·Even
75
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Bergs Z.64%
Sakellaridis S.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bergs Z. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+191 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1566
7.2Overall Elo 1808
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1630
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.09 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
65

Bergs Z.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sakellaridis S.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw