Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez — Cancun 2 Round of 16
ARG1
Baez S.
Sebastian Baez advanced to the quarterfinals of the Cancun 2 tournament with a 6-4, 6-3 victory over Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez in the Round of 16. Baez hit two aces and committed three double faults, while Pacheco Mendez had one ace and four double faults. Baez converted 30% of his break points and won 78% of his first-serve points, compared to 65% for Pacheco Mendez, who converted 33% of his break points.
Key context
- Match story: Sebastian Baez closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Baez S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadBaez S.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Pacheco Mendez R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About