Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van AsscheQuebec City Quarter-final

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#109ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 1st on
#40ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Bonzi B.
6-7 5-7
Van Assche L.
Bonzi B.
6250
Van Assche L.
7772

Luca Van Assche defeated Benjamin Bonzi in the quarterfinals of the Quebec City tournament, winning 7-6, 7-5 on hard courts. Van Assche converted 67% of his break points, while Bonzi converted 50%. Van Assche secured 4 service breaks to Bonzi's 3.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10MarseilleR32hardLuca Van Assche3-6 6-3 7-6
2023-02-20MarseilleR32hardBenjamin Bonzi7-5 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
27
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
77
Break points won·Slight edge
17
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
51
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Bonzi B.49%
Van Assche L.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+32 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1681
5.6Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1701
3.9Trails 1–2 on hard
H2H
6.1Leads 2–1 on hard
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
47
74

Bonzi B.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 115 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw