Katarina Zavatska vs Georgia PedoneW75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Round of 16

W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 · ITF · Round of 16
#259WTA
1542ELO
1524Clay ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWLW
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
#336WTA
1338ELO
1340Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWWW
Zavatska K.
vs
Pedone G.

Katarina Zavatska faces Georgia Pedone in the W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 round of 16 on clay. Katarina Zavatska is the paper favourite — ranked #259, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage — but Georgia Pedone arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 7 on clay to Katarina Zavatska's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Zavatska K.73%
Pedone G.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zavatska K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+183 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1340
7.5Overall Elo 1542
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1338
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

40 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
87%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Even
54%
51%
Return points won·Even
51%
52%
Break points saved·Even
49%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
0.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zavatska K.serving25% hold

wins 40% of points on serve vs Pedone G.

Pedone G.serving22% hold

wins 38% of points on serve vs Zavatska K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
49
Break points saved·Even
13
14
Break points won·Even
93
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
88
Tiebreaks·
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Weather forecast
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 35%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw