Hiroki Moriya vs Kosuke OguraM25 Taipei Round of 32

M25 Taipei · ITF · Round of 32
#515ATP
1353ELO
1321Hard ELO
35 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
#815ATP
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLL
Moriya H.
6-3 6-1
Ogura K.
Moriya H.
662
Ogura K.
310

Hiroki Moriya defeated Kosuke Ogura in the Round of 32 at the M25 Taipei tournament, winning 6-3, 6-1 on hard courts. Moriya hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Ogura had 1 ace and 0 double faults. Moriya converted 67% of his break points and won 85% of his first-serve points, securing 4 service breaks to Ogura's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
61%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Moriya H.78%
Ogura K.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Moriya H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.82 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw