Jonathan Mridha vs Herman Hoeyeraal — M15 Bastad Round of 16

M15 Bastad · ITF · Round of 16
SWE
Jonathan Mridha
#1177ATP
31 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
NOR3
Herman Hoeyeraal
#716ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Mridha J.
7-5 6-3
Hoeyeraal H.
Mridha J.
762
Hoeyeraal H.
530

Jonathan Mridha defeated Louis Herman 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Bastad tournament on clay. Mridha hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, winning 79% of his first serves and converting 67% of break points. He broke Herman's serve twice, while Herman did not convert any break points.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-20M15 BastadR16clayJonathan Mridha7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
Mridha J.Hoeyeraal H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Mridha J.66%
Hoeyeraal H.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mridha J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mridha J.
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Hoeyeraal H.
—Score unavailable
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
2.33 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw