Alan Magadan vs A. HernandezCancun 2 Round of 32

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#561ATP
1274ELO
1275Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
ESTADIO FUNO · 3rd on
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
Magadan A.
4-6 6-0 6-4
Hernandez A.
Magadan A.
4662
Hernandez A.
6041

Alan Magadan advanced in the Cancun 2 Round of 32, defeating A. Hernandez 4-6, 6-0, 6-4. Magadan hit 7 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Hernandez hit 4 aces and 3 double faults. Magadan converted 33% of break points and won 6 service breaks to Hernandez's 3.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-27Los CabosFhardA. Hernandez6-3 7-6(6)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
53%
1st serve points won·
69%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
59%
Return points won·
39%
Break points saved·
57%
Aces / match·
4.5
Double faults / match·
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Magadan A.75%
Hernandez A.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Magadan A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.74 of last 8 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
57
76

Magadan A.: played today · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Hernandez A.: played today · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw