Fermin Tenti vs F. F. Garbero — M15 Arad Round of 16

M15 Arad · ITF · Round of 16
ARG6
Fermin Tenti
#914ATP
29 yrs · 181 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
ITA
F. F. Garbero
#1481ATP
17 yrs
Last 10
WWWLWWLLWW
Tenti F.
vs
Garbero F.

Fermin Tenti faces F. F. Garbero in the M15 Arad round of 16 on clay. Fermin Tenti holds the paper edge — ranked #914. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Tenti F.63%
Garbero F.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tenti F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: F. F. Garbero advanced when S. Enache retired.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 7 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tenti F.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Garbero F.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

4 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season
Tenti F.Garbero F.
1st serve in·Even
69%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
48%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tenti F.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Garbero F.

Garbero F.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Tenti F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
34°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw