Rodrigo Fernandes vs Izan Almazan ValienteM25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 Round of 16

M25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 · ITF · Round of 16
#1258ATP
19 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
#487ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWLW
Fernandes R.
7-5 7-5
Almazan Valiente I.
Fernandes R.
772
Almazan Valiente I.
550

Rodrigo Fernandes defeated Izan Almazan Valiente in the Round of 16 at the M25 Idanha-A-Nova 2 hard court tournament, winning 7-5, 7-5. Fernandes converted 62% of his break points and secured 5 service breaks, while Almazan Valiente converted all 3 of his break point opportunities. Fernandes hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, compared to Almazan Valiente's 3 aces and 5 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
52%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
42%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Fernandes R.22%
Almazan Valiente I.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Almazan Valiente I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw