Gabriele Crivellaro vs Marcel ZielinskiM15 Mistelbach Round of 16

M15 Mistelbach · ITF · Round of 16
#1228ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
#533ATP
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Crivellaro G.
6-7 2-6
Zielinski M.
Crivellaro G.
620
Zielinski M.
762

Marcel Zielinski defeated Gabriele Crivellaro 7-6, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Mistelbach tournament on clay. Zielinski converted 71% of his break points and secured five service breaks, while Crivellaro converted 38% of his break points and secured three service breaks. Zielinski had two aces and three double faults, compared to Crivellaro's seven aces and five double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
53%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
56%
74%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
38%
55%
Service points won·Clear edge
49%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
43%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Crivellaro G.46%
Zielinski M.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.83 of last 5 on clay
Surface form
1.91 of last 6 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Crivellaro G.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw