Paula Cembranos vs Z. Y. Ruan — W15 Logrono Round of 16
W15 Logrono · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
CHNQZ. Y. Ruan
#1527WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Cembranos P.4-6 7-6 6-4
Ruan Z.
Cembranos P.
4762
Ruan Z.
6641
Paula Cembranos defeated Z. Y. Ruan 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the W15 Logrono. Cembranos hit one ace to Ruan's zero and committed 14 double faults to Ruan's 10. Both players converted nine service breaks, but Cembranos had a higher break point conversion percentage and first-serve win percentage.
Key context
- Match story: Paula Cembranos dropped the opening set before beating Z. Y. Ruan 4–6 7–6 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonCembranos P.Ruan Z.
1st serve in·
66%
—
1st serve points won·
56%
—
2nd serve points won·
41%
—
Service points won·
51%
—
Return points won·
51%
—
Break points saved·
52%
—
Aces / match·
0.1
—
Double faults / match·
5.6
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCCembranos P.66%
Ruan Z.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Cembranos P. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedRuan Z.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.0
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 50%