Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd HarrisCancun 2 Round of 32

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#224ATP
1551ELO
1483Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
CANCHA 1 KATAN · 3rd on
#175ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWL
Blanch D.
4-6 2-6
Harris L.
Blanch D.
420
Harris L.
662

Lloyd Harris defeated Darwin Blanch in the Round of 32 of the Cancun 2 hard-court tournament, prevailing 6-4, 6-2. Harris converted 60% of his break points and won 78% of his first-serve points, compared to Blanch's 71% first-serve win percentage. Harris served four aces to Blanch's three and did not commit a double fault, while Blanch made two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Blanch D.34%
Harris L.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Harris L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1483
Surface ELO
7.0+157 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1551
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.52 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.78 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
82
43

Blanch D.: played today · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Harris L.: played today · 7 matches, 163 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw